Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 0.032598 0.037956 0.043854 0.050816 0.058803 0.067669 0.078247
2025-09-14 0.024490 0.031447 0.039811 0.050572 0.064009 0.080191 0.101114
2025-09-21 0.018586 0.026021 0.035680 0.049067 0.067046 0.090252 0.122353
2025-09-28 0.014780 0.022349 0.032881 0.048464 0.070761 0.101308 0.146074
2025-10-05 0.012933 0.020924 0.032729 0.051213 0.079137 0.119387 0.181321
2025-10-12 0.011275 0.019410 0.032104 0.053026 0.086219 0.136286 0.216742
2025-10-19 0.009300 0.016998 0.029656 0.051567 0.087977 0.145291 0.241208
2025-10-26 0.007913 0.015288 0.028020 0.051070 0.091029 0.156413 0.269917
2025-11-02 0.006627 0.013511 0.025962 0.049496 0.091968 0.164059 0.293602
2025-11-09 0.005630 0.012081 0.024278 0.048284 0.093272 0.172289 0.318898
2025-11-16 0.004948 0.011137 0.023331 0.048249 0.096597 0.184214 0.351605
2025-11-23 0.004239 0.010006 0.021844 0.046951 0.097356 0.191548 0.376706
2025-11-30 0.003939 0.009716 0.022024 0.049022 0.104928 0.212326 0.428922
2025-12-07 0.003492 0.009014 0.021245 0.049026 0.108409 0.225760 0.468695
2025-12-14 0.003004 0.008124 0.019921 0.047681 0.108951 0.233523 0.498246
2025-12-21 0.002644 0.007475 0.019032 0.047152 0.111121 0.244698 0.535587
2025-12-28 0.002531 0.007433 0.019544 0.049861 0.120618 0.271732 0.607666
2026-01-04 0.002371 0.007238 0.019656 0.051645 0.128242 0.295549 0.675185
2026-01-11 0.002062 0.006573 0.018505 0.050230 0.128372 0.303321 0.709326
2026-01-18 0.001838 0.006104 0.017775 0.049749 0.130619 0.315902 0.754987
2026-01-25 0.001598 0.005536 0.016695 0.048215 0.130130 0.322275 0.787421
2026-02-01 0.001403 0.005064 0.015799 0.047033 0.130352 0.330258 0.824160
2026-02-08 0.001272 0.004769 0.015353 0.047000 0.133467 0.345260 0.878358